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Cambodia's Funcinpec Party Revived by China?

Partyforumseasia: រណសិរ្សបង្រួប បង្រួមជាតិដើម្បីកម្ពុជាឯករាជ្យ អព្យាក្រិត សន្តិភាព និងសហប្រតិបត្តិការ. This royalist Cambodian party is better known as FUNCINPEC or “Front Uni National pour un Cambodge Indépendant, Neutre, Pacifique, et Coopératif” in French, and “National United Front for an Independent, Neutral, Peaceful, and Cooperative Cambodia” in English. 457 more words

Political Parties In Southeast Asia

Is Chinese President Xi Jinping's Book of Speeches Really a Best Seller?

This September, China’s President Xi Jinping will travel to the U.S., the confident leader’s first state visit there since taking helm of the world’s second largest economy in late 2012. 588 more words

China must resist imperial overreach in competition with the U.S.

Empires fall for many reasons. One of them is overreach: the lust for power often drives imperial rulers to extend their commitments beyond what their resources can support. 858 more words

Finance

Jack reblogged this on Universal Journal Review.

China must resist imperial overreach in competition with the U.S.

Empires fall for many reasons. One of them is overreach: the lust for power often drives imperial rulers to extend their commitments beyond what their resources can support. 858 more words

Finance

In Mao-like move, Xi recruits 10 million Internet youth ‘warriors’, rattles Hong Kong

A leaked internal document of the Communist Youth League (CYL) – the youth wing of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) – has exposed plans by Chinese authorities to recruit more than 10 million “volunteers” to sensitize the country’s information superhighways.

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Politics

Hong Kong's anti-democrats winning the game of propaganda and tactics -- Democrats need to play smarter

Stephen Vines says tactics must change in the dirty game of politics

By Stephen Vines
The South China Morning Post

Even the government seems to have learned better ways of manipulating public opinion. 656 more words

沈大卫: 中共即将分崩离析的五大理由

作者 David Shambaugh

译文原载于对华援助协会网页

周四,全国人大会议在北京召开, 这已经成为了一个熟悉的年度仪式。来自全国各地的3000多名‌‌‌‌“当选‌‌‌‌”代表们,从衣着绚丽的少数民族到都市亿万富豪, 参加这个为时一周的会议,在政治参与的幌子下, “商讨国家大事‌‌‌‌”。

一些人认为,这威风的聚会是中国政治制度力量的标志,但是它掩盖了其严重的弱点。中国的政治总是戴着一个戏剧性的贴面,像人大会议这样的活动只是要展示中国共产党(CCP)的强大和稳定。官员们和老百姓都知道,他们应该符合这些仪式,兴高采烈的参与,鹦鹉学舌般的重复官方口号。这种行为在中文叫做‌‌‌‌ “表态‌‌‌‌”,但是只是象征性的服从而已。

尽管表面光鲜,中国的政治制度是严重支离破碎的,共产党本身比任何人都更清楚这一点。中国的强人领袖习近平,希望对异见人士的打压和反腐可以巩固党的统 治。他决心避免成为中国的戈尔巴乔夫, 主导党的解体。不过,尽管他做的与戈尔巴乔夫的相反, 习近平却很可能面临同样的结果。他的专制严重的加大了中国的制度和社会的压力, 并把它们带到了一个面临崩溃的边缘。

预测独裁政权的灭亡是有风险的。没有几个西方专家在1991年苏联解体前,预测了前苏联的崩溃,美国中情局完全没有料到。直到真的发生前,说东欧共产政权 垮台也同样被蔑称为反共人士的一厢情愿。苏联解体后,从2003年到2005年,格鲁吉亚,乌克兰和吉尔吉斯坦发生的‌‌‌‌“颜色革命‌‌‌‌”,以及 2011年阿拉伯之春的起义,都是在意想不到的情况下爆发的。

自从1989年天安门广场屠杀事件中共政权险些倒台后,中国问题观察家们就一直高度警觉该政权的腐朽和没落的迹象。从那时起,几位资深的汉学家们冒着自己 的职业声誉受损的风险,断言了中共统治的崩溃是不可避免的。包括我在内的其他人则更为谨慎。但是,中国的时代在变化,我们的分析也要跟上。 7 more words

時事政治